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Why Sobchak goes to the polls: several versions

Зачем Собчак идет на выборы: несколько версий The liberals immediately took a dislike to.

Famous Russian TV presenter and editor of the journal L’Officiel Ksenia Sobchak announced the intention to stand in presidents of Russia. About his decision, she warned and opposition leader Alexei Navalny, Russian President Vladimir Putin immediately promised: if Navalny will serve his candidacy, Sobchak gonna take my clothes off. However, there is a caveat – under the laws of Russia, Navalny could not participate in elections, as has unspent conviction.

Why socialite and TV star Sobchak goes on elections of the Russian Federation? Is it true that this idea of the Kremlin?

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The nomination of “daddy’s shirt”

In March next year Russia will hold presidential elections. There is little doubt who will win them, but an open question how it would happen.

The second half of the first decade of Vladimir Putin has begun with election as the candidate of the liberal forces was attended by the businessman Mikhail Prokhorov.

The elections of 2018, the question arose – who could be “unformatted” Putin’s opponent this time.

Rumors about finding a female candidate I went a month and a half. The reason for this was the article in the newspaper “Vedomosti”. Journalists wrote that the Administration of Russian President looking for a woman who would become a sparring partner for Putin in the upcoming elections in 2018.

“Ideal – Ksenia Sobchak, showing the image of a modern young woman who would like to go into politics. Smart, bright, interesting, but not in all corresponding to the image of a typical Russian woman, the question will decide whether she” wrote the local media on 1 September.

Six weeks later “the perfect sparring partner for Putin” decided. Of contact with said image and appearance of the future candidate: chief editor of fashion glossy magazines made a statement in the relevant non-dimensional white shirt oversized.

“In dad’s shirt?” joked on social media, remembering the late politician Anatoly Sobchak.

Approval Of The Kremlin

Six weeks about a possible extension of Sobchak spoke all the main electoral subjects, including Russian President Putin.

“Well, for God’s sake… what is she going to run, I hear the first time. Sure there may be other candidates. It’s not my job to determine who is better for the Russian people as head of state. Ultimately, this is determined on elections,” – said Putin.

After the nomination of Sobchak spoke very warmly by the press Secretary of the President Dmitry Peskov.

“If I understand correctly, she completely fits the position of our Constitution. She is the citizen of the Russian Federation, which in accordance with the Constitution can run for President of the country. Of course after all the necessary procedures and formalities as described in our legislation,” – said Peskov, “Rain”, adding that “Ksenia is a talented man,” and “in recent years, she gained experience in many different areas.”

However, some analysts saw a downside to such a clear approval of the Kremlin.

“It looks defiantly. This may be a deliberate campaign, so to speak, to demonize, “Laponia” candidate to show that all our Kremlin fingerprints. Was sent the installation to approve the motion. But this does not mean categorically that Ksenia Sobchak – do the Kremlin’s candidate. It can mean the opposite, because the Kremlin knows that the relationship with him does not increase support, especially to the liberal candidate,” – said in an interview to “Rain” the Russian political scientist Gleb Pavlovsky.

The hostility of the liberals

However, in liberal circles this is considered proof that the nomination Sobchak – the alleged plan of the Kremlin, and struck the fellow with fierce criticism. Even after the article in the “Gazette” opposition politician Alexei Navalny, and even launched a campaign to discredit rivals. On the YouTube channel he suggested that her campaign will be financed by the oligarchs and the presidential administration who want “to drag to the polls the liberal ridicule cannibalistic views in politics and economy.”

In response Sobchak has accused Navalny warlordism and fear of political competition.

In General, the reaction of the Moscow liberal opposition of the establishment to nominate Sobchak turned out to be very critical. Socialite Bozena of Rynska written on Facebook: “Here is a sneaky snake. Decided to run the creature.” Chief editor of the portal “Medusa” Galina Timchenko has drawn attention to the errors that Sobchak had made when writing the text on their own nomination.

“Read the program text formidable opponent of VV Putin. Have something to strive for! No need to despair. See. The participial momentum cancel, cancel adverbs, homonyms ban, the lexical meaning of such words to call, consider the test word for “compromise” the word “g-man”,” Timchenko wrote on Facebook.

But on the side of Xenia powerfully acted acted as the leader of group “Leningrad” Sergey Shnurov (“Cord”). Even before the nomination he has published verse in which, with the use of Russian Mat, Navalny explained why he is wrong in his criticism of Sobchak.

And on the day the nomination has released a new video for the song “Candidate”. And though directly about Sobchak it didn’t say anything, but his main point was clear: how were the elections is a very bad and shameful. You need to change everything.

But who to change, if not Xenia?

The prospects of the candidate Sobchak

Two years ago, the all-Russia centre of studying of public opinion (VTSIOM) has published data about how in Russia estimate the TV presenter Sobchak. It turned out, the name is familiar to almost every Russian in the survey, 2015 heard about it 95% of the respondents. However, the attitude to Sobchak citizens rather negative: it said 60% of those who it is known (the proportion of positive responses – 21%).

However, these figures cannot be considered as relevant two years later and especially after the news about the nomination. More recent figures relate to the anti-Sobchak. According to the “Levada-center”, in August 2017 the anti-Sobchak was 8 percentage points. Navalny – nine.

Russian political analyst Yevgeny Minchenko believes a ridiculous nomination Sobchak and predicts that if a competent campaign and good financing Sobchak can get up to 10%.

“The task Sobchak – to give the elections an intrigue and drive, thus increasing the turnout,” he said in comments to “the Country”.

With regard to Bulk, Minchenko is convinced that it will not allow the elections because of a criminal record.

The opposition leftist politician Sergei Udaltsov, who could not run because of a conviction for organizing protests on Bolotnaya square, is also convinced that the task of the candidate, Sobchak increase in turnout.

“The main problem of the Kremlin is to hold presidential elections in 2018 with a convincing turnout of voters (at least 60%) to planned Putin’s victory looked solid. In a situation when a real opposition candidates before the election will not be allowed (due to previous convictions, for example, that concerns not only Bulk), the Kremlin needs a sparring candidates that will refresh the palette campaign members. In 2012, this sparring candidate, who worked to mobilize liberal-minded voter, was Mikhail Prokhorov, now the bet is placed on Sobchak (by the way, don’t be surprised if there are more candidates of this kind). But if in the case of Prokhorov on the part of the voters had the feeling that he is playing an independent game, the situation with Sobchak too obvious, as the Kremlin’s ears stick out a mile. However, its participation in the elections will further increase turnout by a few percent, which in General is and should be the authorities,” – said Udaltsov.

Read also: Russia’s Danila Bagrov recognized “national superhero”

According to unofficial information, the head of staff Sobchak in the election of the President can become a political analyst Vitaliy Shklyarov, who participated in the election campaign the opposition candidates won the elections of municipal deputies in Moscow.

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