The well-worn business phrase “push and pull” neatly captures the essence of today’s US–China relations. What once looked like a competitive partnership has hardened into a contest of wills, power, and identity. One that will shape the global order for years to come. For much of the late 20th century …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: How Trump’s bluntness shatters the liberal world order
US President Donald Trump’s return to the center stage of world politics has once again ignited discussions about his peculiar political behavior. While the subject may feel numbing to some, Trump continues to dictate the global information agenda, underscoring two key realities about the modern world. First, the United States’ …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: This week’s BRICS summit was historic and here’s why
This week’s BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia, caused a stir, which is understandable. It was a major event in terms of both representation and concept. Everyone is free to evaluate it in their own way, but it cannot be dismissed an unimportant. If we turn away from the ceremonial and …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: Here’s what the results of the European Parliament elections tell us
The European Parliament elections have shaken up the political space but won’t bring revolutionary changes at EU level. Despite the success of Euroskeptic forces in a number of countries, the composition of the representative body has not seriously changed. The main jobs in the bloc’s institutions will, as always, be …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: How does the Russia-Ukraine conflict end?
Russia’s military campaign in Ukraine is now two years old. The statement that everything will be decided on the battlefield has become axiomatic, but the assessment of the results has changed. A year and a half ago, the head of EU diplomacy, Josep Borrell, spoke with optimism. But now he …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: 2024 could be the year when the West’s liberal elites lose control of the world order
This year began with one fierce military confrontation of global significance and ends with two. And there is no guarantee that they will not continue until the end of 2024. The chain of conflicts, seemingly territorial but essentially existential (at least in the perception of those involved), may prove to …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: UN feedback shows that while the West is hostile to Russia, the world isn’t
The UN’s High-Level Week – an annual gathering of senior representatives of member states who address the General Assembly – is taking place in New York. It is a period of speeches of varying length and intensive contacts between ministers or even heads of state, depending on the status of …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: The glory years of the G20 are over
The annual G20 summit is taking place in India this weekend. Any gathering of leaders of this caliber (and the 20 largest economies are the ones that really run the world) is a major event. All the more so because, in the context of the apparent weakening of traditional institutions …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: G7 members want the rest of the world to join their crusade against Russia and China. They won’t succeed
On the eve of the final round of Turkey’s presidential election, the suspense has worn off. After the third-placed candidate from a fortnight ago, Sinan Ogan, announced his support for the incumbent, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s chances of gaining the extra 1.5% he needed for victory increased. However, the reality …
Read More »Fyodor Lukyanov: Russia’s role in the global economic order has turned out to be more significant than the West believed
After weeks of intensive negotiations, the European Union has agreed on a sixth package of sanctions against Moscow. Its main element is the cessation, by the end of this year, of oil imports from Russia delivered to the bloc’s market by sea. According to President of the European Commission Ursula …
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