In the area of possible invasion of Russia to Europe includes the countries of the European periphery – the Baltic, the Balkans and the countries of Central and southern Europe. The forecast released by the American analytical company Stratfor.
According to analysts, Russia is trying to prevent the expansion of NATO and the European Union and sow discord between unions on the issue of sanctions and defense.
The forecast underlines that the countries of the European periphery there is little reason to fear a conventional military aggression of the Russian Federation. The Russian invasion of the region cannot be excluded, although it is unlikely, as these countries are members of NATO or are located far away from Russia, or both.
It is noted that the invasion is not the only tool in the Arsenal of the Russian Federation. Particular challenge for countries on the edge of Europe are also hybrid warfare, in particular, political manipulation, punitive energy and economic measures of a cyber attack and sabotage and disinformation campaign.
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