UNCTAD expects the global economy to grow by 4.7% in 2021 compared to the previously forecast 4.3%.
“The global recovery that began in the third quarter of 2020 is expected to continue through 2021, albeit with a good deal of unevenness and unpredictability, reflecting epidemiological, policy and coordination uncertainties,” the report titled, ‘Out of the frying pan… into the fire?’ reads.
The upwards revision from its previous outlook that was made in September is based on a projected increase in US consumer spending attributed to the latest progress in the distribution of Covid-19 vaccines. The agency also cites the vast stimulus package recently adopted by the US government as one of the factors.
According to the report, the long-lasting impact of Covid-19 will require continued government support. The UN highlights that a “misguided return to austerity” poses a major risk to global economic prosperity.
Worldwide lockdowns tied to the coronavirus pandemic brought on a 3.9% drop in output, the agency’s estimates show.
The organization also said that the economic consequences of Covid are exorbitant, while the destruction of income is on an unprecedented scale with people in developing countries particularly hard hit.
Earlier, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) also published an upwards projection, raising the expected economic growth this year from 4.2% to 5.6%.
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