Despite the previously announced proposal of the President of Russia Vladimir Putin to send UN peacekeepers to the Donbass, the country-aggressor in 2018 it can go on the strengthening of the armed conflict in the temporarily occupied parts of Ukraine if it is to be profitable. Moreover, thus it is likely to do if the U.S. will make two key decisions.
This is stated in the forecast the us private intelligence analysis company Stratfor.
The first impetus to the resumption of active hostilities in the Donbass can be the results of investigations of the USA, which confirm that Russia interfered in American elections. In this case, Washington will strengthen the sanctions regime against Russia.
The second important factor is the high probability that the U.S. will provide Ukraine with lethal weapons, despite the negative attitude to this initiative of the American President Donald trump.
“If the United States decides to take any of these actions, Moscow may respond to the escalation of the conflict in Eastern Ukraine, or an asymmetric response in another place,” — analysts say.
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