The real growth of unemployment in Russia led to the fact that at the moment is actually unoccupied turned every tenth able-bodied Russian.
“According to recent data, the registered unemployed are already 1.4 million people. This means that, according to the ILO, total unemployment in the country at the moment can be up to 8 million people,” — said to “Interfax” President of the Confederation of labour of Russia (KTR) Boris Kravchenko.
According to him, “this is a very approximate figure, but agree with it very many experts”. “If this projection is correct, and she is probably right, we have now a very troublesome trend,” — says the head of CTE.
As recalled by “Finmarket”, the methodology of the International labour organization considers not only the registered unemployed but all in fact unoccupied.
We will remind, on the eve of the Deputy Prime Minister Tatyana Golikova said about doubling the number of official unemployed in Russia. “Today, the date of which we speak, the date of transition to “the other stage”, the number of registered unemployed in Russia grew from 725,8 thousand people to 1,434 million people, almost doubled, increased by 97.6 percent,” said Deputy Prime Minister.
She also said that from March 1 to the employment services requested 1 million 654 thousand people, “either for job search or to receive benefits”.
Meanwhile, according to the experts of “Levada-Center”, on the background of the economic crisis caused by the pandemic in Russia has fired or really felt threatened layoffs of up to 25% of the population. “The pay cuts felt by more than 30 percent of households already fired or really feel the threat of dismissal, 25 percent of Russians. More people worried, just waiting for it. The wave of expectations of a sharp rise of unemployment and impoverishment is a very serious and ambitious. The official figures are very much understated,” said may 8 the head of “Levada-Center” Lev Gudkov in an interview with “BUSINESS Online”.
However, he drew attention to the fact that “in Russia, a huge informal employment sector, about 24-25 million people.” “Of course, they stop working is very important. Official statistics are real tensions in the labour market will not “catch”,” — believes the expert.
In late April, the founder of the service to find work Superjob.ru Alexei Zakharov did not rule out that Russia after the pandemic coronavirus infection is waiting for the largest unemployment since the early 1990-ies, and the forecast of the Ministry of labor on the growing number of unemployed up to 6 million people is underestimated by 5-6 times.
Earlier Russian Ministry of labor has predicted in one scenario that unemployment in the country after a pandemic could rise to 5-6 million people.
Prior to this, April 13, the Chairman of the accounts chamber of the Russian Federation Alexei Kudrin warned of a probable and significant increase in the number of unemployed in Russia. “According to forecasts, in the period of the crisis in Russia from 2.5 million to 8 million will increase the number of unemployed at some period. It is possible that before the end of the year. Then restart (the economy),” said Kudrin in an interview with RBC. He stated that currently the demand for some services completely disappeared: unclaimed were restaurant services, entertainment and sports.
Let’s add that the Russian economy in February—March 2020 was under the powerful impact of two negative factors — the rapid spread of the pandemic coronavirus infection COVID-19 and its deleterious effect on the global economy and collapse in oil prices. Against this background, the rouble significantly depreciated against the dollar and the Euro. Reacting to the situation, the government and the Bank of Russia adopted several packages of measures to support the economy and citizens.
May 11, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the end of may 12, a single period of days off, entered March 30, in the fight against COVID-19. He also announced the beginning of implementation of the third package of anti-crisis measures, under which the state, in particular, will increase targeted support for families with children, small businesses, individual entrepreneurs and self-employed. In addition, Putin instructed the government to prepare a national plan for long-term development of the economy, the recovery in employment and incomes.
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