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Again she drowned?

Она опять утонула?

Attempting to return to the past led our country to the edge of the equally profound abyss of what Chernobyl was for the Soviet Union and the First world war for the Russian Empire.

Twenty years of Putin Russia, with rare exceptions, is in the mobilization of the patient. Enemies change, militaristic hysteria continues. Meanwhile, it becomes clear that, as a textbook generals, our current “security officers” all the while preparing for the last war. Whatever you say, and reset it turns out quite the way it was intended.

Pandemic coronavirus not only creates a new, unprecedented challenges, but also extremely complicates overcoming the previous confusion. Virus attack can become for the Russian Federation this fatal test, what were the First world war for the Russian Empire and the Chernobyl disaster to the Soviet Union. It seems that in the coming year will provide answers to many questions that have accumulated over these two decades.

However, one political, the theorem is now definitely proven. People with “cool heads and hot hearts” who wanted to restore the Imperial grandeur of Russia, brought her to the edge of the abyss. How this will end, could have been expected six years ago. How it all ends, quite clearly today. Misconceptions about the world, multiplied by the servile advice of experts, has created an explosive mixture of great destructive power. However, it is necessary to think, not last role has played and not entirely “clean hands”.

It is easy to blame Mikhail Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin that they “collapse” of the USSR. Narrow-minded minds will always prefer the conspiracy theory, not the bitter truth. To draw the right conclusions from what happened — this is a serious thinking skill. Practically a civilized breakup of the Union republics, undoubtedly, was accompanied by a whole succession of hardship and deprivation for the majority of former Soviet citizens. But an adventurous attempt to go back in time, apparently, leads to consequences in comparison with which the difficult nineties seem pleasant walk.

These shocks are, strictly speaking, hasn’t even started yet, and the symptoms of an incurable disease of the state system more and more. The apparent reluctance of Vladimir Putin to associate your name with anticolonialism unpopular measures creates an imbalance of power and unwittingly starts the process of federalization. In a cruel twist of fate, the undisputed ruler of Russia revived the phenomenon that persistently fought in the zero years. And, by the way, which he has recently tried to impose on Ukraine.

The situation looks dire. Deliberately turned into dust state institutions, raped society, a rapidly crumbling economy — all this bad help in an emergency. Thoroughly cleansed the political field can no longer give public figures to match the scale of the challenges faced. Negative selection has created the population servile and few capable government officials.

Catastrophic, apparently, threatening all spheres of life. Economist Yevgeny Gontmakher has always been extremely accurate in assessments of the events. However, now he believes that “in Russia, we quickly meet the most powerful since 1917 the political shake-up”. Plays a familiar historical story: Putin, as in the time of Nicholas II, who strongly does not want to see what is obvious to any unbiased observer.

Meanwhile, in Russia, for the third time in a little over a hundred years, closing in powerful social cataclysms. The current political lull has clearly temporary in nature. Definitely do not underestimate the recent rally in Vladikavkaz. In critical conditions the protests spread like a viral infection in a confined space. Dissatisfaction can take the most unexpected forms. For example, in large Russian cities held a “digital” meetings. Thus, there is little doubt that after the end of the quarantine active part of society produces the state long account in the nightmare of forced inactivity.

Over the last century and a quarter of large-scale social change with relentless regularity was about the same time of the year. While the impetus for change served any clumsy actions of the Russian authorities, unfortunately, uniformly distributed for all calendar months. Often the political crisis began in mid-summer, gathered momentum in August and September and came to a natural end in October—November. If the government coped with the mass discontent, the new wave of public activity rose in February—March. To verify this, it suffices to study the history of his native country, starting with the circumstances of the publication of the Manifesto of October 17.

According to the apt remark of Vasily Rozanov about the collapse of the tsarist “Russia faded in two days. At most — three”. “Unbreakable Union” met in an equally short period of time. Of course, historical analogies are always relative and do not give the right answers to contemporary questions. But, looking to the future, did not want to talk about Russia that she had drowned.

© 2020, paradox. All rights reserved.

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